Green Energy

Aluminium prices remain volatile amid global trade tensions, with LME opening higher today at $2,373.6/ton. Despite the U.S. raising aluminium tariffs to 25%, India's producers remain largely unaffected due to minimal U.S. exposure. Analysts see strong international demand and tightening supply in Asia, but caution that further price direction depends on trade policy clarity and China’s production limits.

Stainless steel prices are showing firmness across grades, especially in the 200 and 300 series, driven by supply shortages and increased demand for PVC-coated material. Jindal Stainless has raised prices by Rs 2/kg for 304/316L as demand improves. 304 CR wider 2B now trades at Rs 189–194/kg, while 316L HR imported is around Rs 330/kg. Scrap purchase prices have also increased, reflecting cost pressures.

Structure steel prices remain firm across regions, with primary mills in Chennai and Vizag reporting full bookings until mid-May. Demand from EPCs and infrastructure projects is keeping rolling mills busy, while secondary markets in Raipur and Gobindgarh see brisk sales. With rising coking coal and freight costs, mills may introduce a second round of price hikes by mid-May.

Zinc prices remained steady across global exchanges, supported by a sharp rise in Chinese refined zinc output, which increased nearly 14% MoM. On the MCX, prices hovered near Rs 246.5/kg amid a short-covering trend. Domestic production growth was driven by resumed operations and better economics for smelters. Technical indicators suggest prices may face resistance ahead.

Primary TMT prices dropped slightly across key regions, reflecting a stagnant demand environment and high distributor inventory. Distributors across North, West, and South India adjusted rates downward as inquiry volumes declined. Supply remains stable, with no material shortages expected. Meanwhile, JSW Steel’s mining violation notice was set aside but raised investor concerns, leading to a dip in its stock.

Stainless steel prices across all major series (200, 300, and 400) remain firm in May 2025, with demand improving and supply tight, especially in the 300 series. While 200 series sees upbeat demand due to reduced imports. As global trade tensions mount, the industry pushes for tariff protections to safeguard local manufacturers.

Flat steel prices in India show mild day-to-day variations across major markets, with HRC and CRC demand gradually recovering in May 2025. While input costs rise and production increases, concerns persist over global price pressures and supply disruptions. Steel distributors remain cautiously optimistic, banking on infrastructure growth and regulatory support, profit margin pressures remain key challenges.

Primary TMT prices remain stable in major markets, with prices in Mumbai, Delhi NCR, and Vizag holding at Rs 57,500-58,000/MT and Rs 54,000-54,500/MT respectively. Demand has stagnated compared to previous weeks, with distributors holding significant inventory. The market is waiting for price updates after the first week of May, but material availability is not an issue.

The structure market shows strong demand driven by metro, smart city, and housing projects. Primary market prices are stable but set for potential increases as mills deal with high demand and limited production slots. Secondary market activity remains steady, with Raipur and Gobindgarh attracting mid-sized buyers. Early procurement and pre-booking are advised as price hikes loom due to rising input costs.