Imported Toluene in Mumbai

Toluene prices have fallen by Rs 2/kg due to decreased FOB Korea Benzene futures. The supply-demand situation remains balanced, with seasonal recovery expected in January, driven by growth in the paints, coatings, and bulk drug manufacturing industries. Experts predict volatility in toluene prices in the coming weeks but expect short-term price stability due to increased demand in key sectors.

Escalating conflict between Iran and Israel has significantly impacted domestic market dynamics today, leading to heightened market uncertainty. Shipments of methanol and toluene from Iran have been put on hold, triggering strong reactions within the market. As Iran is a key supplier, especially to China, which relies heavily on Iranian methanol for acetic acid production, supply disruptions are expected to challenge downstream sectors, including ethyl acetate and acetic anhydride, now under increased scrutiny and speculation.

Methanol prices have risen by ₹0.25/kg following a surge in futures contracts and natural gas prices. Asian CFR futures climbed $6/MT as potential sanctions on Russian and Iranian supplies spark concern. In India, bulk consumption is rising despite production constraints, and traders are actively building inventories anticipating further price increases.

The Acrylonitrile market shows mixed performance across regions, with prices stable in Asia and Europe but subdued in North America due to reduced global demand. Automotive sector growth offsets weaker demand from paints and coatings. Experts predict a January price dip, recovery starting March, and stronger market dynamics post-winter.

N-butanol prices in Kandla remain steady at ₹84.5/kg, while the Asian market in Shandong witnessed a slight price increase this week due to tight supply and cautious downstream demand. India's seasonal demand, especially from the paints and coatings sector, is expected to sustain price stability until mid-2025.

The melamine market is witnessing stable prices, with slight fluctuations in the Asian benchmark. Oversupply persists due to increased production capacity, while weak downstream demand, impacted by the real estate slowdown, limits significant price changes. Adjustments in supply and potential policy shifts in real estate may influence future demand recovery.

Sodium Methoxide prices increased by ₹2 per kg, driven by higher raw material costs. Despite a slight correction in methanol prices, SMO prices remain unaffected. Supply has strengthened with new capacities, while demand is primarily met through just-in-time procurement. Experts predict price volatility amid surging downstream demand and falling feedstock prices.

Domestic methanol prices dipped by ₹0.5/kg as aggressive liquidation from traders met weak demand. Improved Iranian supply and declining Asian futures pressured prices further. Key sectors like pharmaceuticals and formaldehyde showed mixed demand trends. Experts foresee continued price corrections, urging buyers to approach inventory replenishment cautiously amid a bearish market outlook.

Butyl Acrylate Monomer (BAM) prices increased by ₹2/kg, driven by robust demand from paints and coatings. India's BAM demand stands at 20 kt/month, with BPCL supplying 15 kt. Seasonal demand recovery is expected to sustain strong momentum until May 2025, while higher feedstock prices could further influence BAM price dynamics.