Stainless Steel Update: Demand Surge in December; Nickel and Copper Increase

Nickel and copper prices showed an uptick in today's trading, with stainless steel retail prices reflecting these changes. The 200 series is performing exceptionally well due to a shortage of imported materials, while the 300 and 400 series experience steady demand increases. On the supply side, challenges like cash crunches and import restrictions continue.

Key Takeaways

  • Nickel and Copper Price Trends: Nickel prices rose 0.69%, while copper increased 0.61%. 304 CR wider 2B is priced at Rs.195-198/kg (ex-Delhi, basic).
  • Demand Trends: Strong demand growth observed in the 200 series due to a shortage of imports. The 300 and 400 series are seeing modest demand growth.
  • Supply Insights: Indian producers continue purchasing stainless steel scrap at competitive prices. Import restrictions and cash flow issues pose challenges to market liquidity.
  • Market Outlook: Prices for the 300 series are expected to rise due to high USD rates. The 400 series may remain costly due to BIS certification requirements.

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Stainless Steel Price

  • Nickel opened today up by 0.69% at $16,035/mt, while Copper opened today up by 0.61% at $9,130/mt.
  • INR opened today against USD at 84.65/-.
  • Current retail price for 304 CR wider 2B is now running approximately at Rs.195-198/kg basic price range, ex-Delhi, while for narrow, it is approximately Rs.3-5/kg cheaper, plus GST.
  • SS 316L HR imported material is now being retailed in the price range of Rs.318-322/kg for HR wider. Indian material is expensive by Rs.5-10/kg. For CR wider, the rates are Rs.10/kg higher than HR. SS 201 imported CR 2B (extra low thicknesses like 0.26mm) is being retailed at Rs. 165-167/kg, ex-Delhi, plus GST.
  • Domestic 201 (cheapest grade) is now being retailed in the price range of Rs.143-145/- base price (plus thickness difference extra), plus GST.
  • Indian flat stainless steel producers are buying scrap after the service of the finished-goods at the following latest prices (plus GST):- 304: Rs.1,27,886/mt 316L: Rs.2,25,065/mt J5 Patta: Rs.72,000/mt J8 Patta: Rs.70,000/mt 430: Rs.56,317/mt

Stainless Steel Demand and Supply

  • Demand is slightly getting better in 300 series, but not much, due to cash crunch.
  • In 400 series also, demand is seen to be increasing.
  • 200 series demand has further increased and is upbeat, due to shortage of imported material.
  • No.4 PVC material demand is still on the rise as expected, both in 200 and 300 series, as observed in the past few months.

Stainless Steel News

  • China Customs statistics showed that stainless steel exports in October reached 417,000 mt, down 9% MoM but up 24.1% YoY.
  • The base metals on the Asian commodity exchange SHFE were favourable on Wednesday. Copper, aluminium, tin and zinc rose by up to 1%. The price of nickel, an important stainless steel and battery raw material, fell by almost 2.6%.
  • The EU Commission wants to look for a successor to the EU Safeguard measure on certain steel imports, which expires in mid-2026, in favour of domestic steel manufacturers.
  • Turkey’s steel industry is optimistic, aiming to raise capacity utilisation to 70% by 2025 from the current 62.6%, despite global challenges.

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Expert Opinion

  • SS 300 series prices are expected to rise in the current scenario, since USD is high.
  • SS 400 series prices are also expected to remain on the steeper side, because of the BIS issue.
  • SS 200 series is also expected to perform very well domestically, as imports are choked.
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