LubriEdge Gear Oil (Gear Oil 460) Barrel in Bhiwadi

Crude oil prices are relatively stable, with WTI at $62.69 and Brent at $64.76. India’s crude imports are set to rise in H2 2025 as refineries restart and expand. Russia remains a top supplier, while Brent-Dubai EFS makes Middle Eastern crude more attractive. Import diversification is expected to continue.

Crude prices dipped slightly while natural gas edged up. India's crude imports from Russia hit a two-year high, signaling deepening ties. Ongoing OPEC+ adjustments and geopolitical shifts influence supply. Joint India-Russia clean energy projects, including a thorium SMR, hint at future diversification beyond hydrocarbons.

Oil and gas prices across India remain steady, but exports of petroleum products dropped sharply by 35% YoY in April 2025 due to reduced HSD and ATF shipments and planned refinery maintenance. While short-term volumes may remain subdued, upcoming capacity expansions and stable demand are expected to support future recovery.

India’s crude demand is rising, while production and exports dip. Bitumen and base oil prices hold steady. The government’s push for over 100 domestically built crude tankers will boost energy security and shipbuilding. Geopolitical risks and global tensions drive volatility, prompting interest in Iranian crude to diversify supply sources.

India has significantly ramped up U.S. crude oil imports, leveraging favorable WTI pricing and using energy trade as a strategic tool amid ongoing tariff negotiations with the U.S. State refiners are leading the charge, while analysts expect continued import growth, potentially impacting regional freight, WTI pricing, and global energy trade dynamics.

Base Oil (SN150) is priced at ₹68/kg in Delhi and ₹61.5/litre in Kandla. In Bhiwadi, hydraulic and specialty oils range from ₹87 to ₹135/litre. UK imposes anti-dumping duties on engine oil and hydraulic fluid imports from Lithuania and UAE, aiming to protect domestic manufacturers from price undercutting and margin erosion.

Crude oil prices saw modest gains, with WTI at $64.19/bbl and Brent at $67.89/bbl. The Indian Rupee weakened to ₹85.34/USD. Russia now supplies 36% of India’s crude, outpacing OPEC. Domestic bitumen, base oil, and fuel oil prices remain stable. Market sentiment is bullish amid tightened supply and rising geopolitical risks.

India’s average crude oil import price has fallen below $70 per barrel for the first time since August 2021, offering refiners a breather amid global volatility. Despite international supply fluctuations and geopolitical tensions, Indian fuel demand remains strong. With record-high import dependence and steady domestic consumption, refiners are likely to benefit from improved margins and better procurement terms.

India’s oil and gas sector is facing mounting pressure from weak global crude prices, macroeconomic uncertainty, and volatile equity markets. While refined product demand shows resilience, upstream players like Oil India are struggling. Domestic lubricant and fuel prices remain steady, but investor sentiment and stock performance are turning increasingly cautious.