LubriEdge Rust Preventive Oil (Water Displacing (WDM)) Barrel in Bhiwadi

Bitumen prices across global markets show mixed trends as early monsoon weakens Indian demand while geopolitical instability, especially the Israel-Iran conflict, tightens supply. Crude volatility and force majeure conditions in Iran are disrupting export flows, with Europe and China facing upward pressure. Market participants must brace for heightened price and supply risks.

Oil prices fell nearly 5% to $65.72/bbl following the Iran-Israel ceasefire, relieving pressure on Indian refiners but straining upstream firms like ONGC and Oil India. Domestic petroleum prices remained steady. Refining margins improved due to lower input costs, but global demand hesitancy and high inventories continue to weigh on market sentiment.

Petroleum product prices in India remain steady amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. While supply is currently uninterrupted, the threat of a Strait of Hormuz blockade is prompting India to prepare contingency plans, including export curbs. Strategic reserves and sourcing diversification may shield domestic markets from immediate disruption, but global pricing remains volatile.

Petroleum product prices in India remain steady, but rising geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran have pushed crude oil prices to a two-month high. While India’s strategic reserves and advance procurement offer short-term protection, elevated freight costs and risks to the Strait of Hormuz may impact pricing and supply chains.

India’s bitumen and base oil prices showed mixed trends, with bulk VG40 and emulsion variants varying by region. Meanwhile, state refiners plan $600M in domestic MR tanker orders, 15–20% costlier than imports, reflecting a push for energy logistics self-reliance. Strategic support and efficient execution remain key challenges.

Crude oil prices are relatively stable, with WTI at $62.69 and Brent at $64.76. India’s crude imports are set to rise in H2 2025 as refineries restart and expand. Russia remains a top supplier, while Brent-Dubai EFS makes Middle Eastern crude more attractive. Import diversification is expected to continue.

Crude prices dipped slightly while natural gas edged up. India's crude imports from Russia hit a two-year high, signaling deepening ties. Ongoing OPEC+ adjustments and geopolitical shifts influence supply. Joint India-Russia clean energy projects, including a thorium SMR, hint at future diversification beyond hydrocarbons.

Oil and gas prices across India remain steady, but exports of petroleum products dropped sharply by 35% YoY in April 2025 due to reduced HSD and ATF shipments and planned refinery maintenance. While short-term volumes may remain subdued, upcoming capacity expansions and stable demand are expected to support future recovery.

WTI crude oil hovers above $63/bbl, weighed by OPEC+ supply increases and U.S. trade tensions. Goldman Sachs highlights Trump’s historical preference for lower oil prices, adding uncertainty. While easing U.S.–China tariffs provided brief support, rising U.S. inventories and fragile geopolitical balances limit further upside. Market remains cautious and range-bound.