India's PVC Market Stays Firm Amid ADD Speculation

The polymer market in India remains stable with varied pricing trends across segments. Key developments include steady PVC prices supported by anticipated anti-dumping duties and robust demand growth in the PVC pipes industry. Global supply disruptions, including shutdowns in methanol and LLDPE units, also impact regional markets.

Key Takeaways

  • Polymer Price Stability: Prices for polymers like LLDPE, LDPE, and HDPE remain unchanged. PP variants, such as Raffia and Lamination, maintain competitive pricing.
  • PVC Market Insights: Stable PVC prices are supported by potential ADD announcements. PVC pipe demand is forecasted to grow 10–12%, driven by infrastructure projects.
  • Global Supply Disruptions: Methanol plant in Iran shut due to gas shortages. LLDPE units in South Korea shut down for maintenance.
  • Outlook: India’s PVC market is expected to grow steadily with demand from key industries.:

Polymer Prices: Stability Across Key Variants

  • Low K (DG700): ₹78.75/kg, Ex Nhava Sheva/Mundra
  • Low K (B57): ₹83.50/kg, Ex Nhava Sheva/Mundra
  • LG LS100H: ₹76.50/kg, Ex Mundra/Bhiwandi
  • LLDPE: ₹86.50/kg (±0), Ex Mundra/Bhiwandi
  • LDPE: ₹116/kg (±0), Ex Mundra/Bhiwandi
  • HDPE PE100 Natural: ₹88/kg (±0), Ex Mundra/Bhiwandi
  • HDPE PE100 Black: ₹90/kg (±0), Ex Mundra/Bhiwandi
  • HDPE HM: ₹90/kg (±0), Ex Mundra/Bhiwandi
  • HD Blow Molding: ₹91/kg (±0), Ex Mundra/Bhiwandi
  • PP Raffia: ₹90/kg, Ex Godown
  • PP Film: ₹99.50/kg (±0), Ex Godown
  • PPCP: ₹98/kg, Ex Godown
  • PP Lamination: ₹100/kg, Ex Godown

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PVC Supply and Demand: Strong Growth Backed by Demand

  • India's PVC market is stable to firm, driven by weak demand and sufficient supply. The potential announcement of anti-dumping duties (ADD) on PVC imports has supported price stability. Buyers across Asia are awaiting the ADD ruling.
  • The PVC pipes industry is poised for 10–12% volume growth this fiscal year due to strong demand from irrigation, water supply, sanitation, and housing. Despite ongoing capacity expansions, PVC pipe makers' credit profiles remain stable.

Polymer News: Supply Disruptions Impacting Regional Dynamics

  • Sinopec: Increased Propylene list prices in East China.
  • Sabalan Petrochemical: Shut its Methanol plant in Asaluyeh, Iran, due to gas issues.
  • LG Chem: Shut its LLDPE units in Yeosu, South Korea.
  • LG Chem (Korea): Offered PVC at $830/MT, CIF Nhava Sheva/Chennai/Mundra port for December 2024 shipment, LC at sight.

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Expert Opinion: Outlook for PVC and Polymer Market in India

  • India's PVC market is expected to grow steadily, fueled by strong demand from end-user industries and capacity expansion by PVC pipe makers. The ADD ruling outcome and global trends will play a significant role in shaping prices and demand in the coming months.
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